The American consumer is a powerful beast. My fundamental friends love reminding me that consumer spending makes up roughly 70% of U.S. GDP. I still don’t know what a GDP is, but 70% of anything sounds like a big deal.…
We call this daily note Everybody’s Wrong for a reason: There’s always a crowd leaning the wrong way. And as investors, our only job is to recognize those dislocations and profit from them. This summer, when small-cap short interest hit…
The weight of the evidence in small caps keeps pointing in the same direction: higher. The Russell 2000 just posted its third straight monthly close at new all-time highs, and when you break it down sector by sector, the underlying…
As bull markets mature, opportunities don’t disappear — they multiply. But only for the people actually paying attention. Narratives take hold, and humans cling to them long after the market has moved on. They’ll toss out the math just to…
Mark Twain famously said there are three kinds of lies: “Lies, damned lies, and statistics.” It was his way of exposing how easily numbers can be twisted to prop up a weak argument. We see the same thing every day…
Founder’s Note: Something else I love about Quantitative Analyst Grant Hawkridge is that he’s always looking to get better. The data part is great; we couldn’t do what we do at TrendLabs without him. And curiosity is the key to…
Happy Thanksgiving from all of us at TrendLabs. This has been a special year, and I’m incredibly grateful for all your support. Everything we’re building here is only possible because of you. Thank you. Quick reminder: Today is a shortened…
I get it – the constant back-and-forth about bull or bear, strong breadth or weak breadth, rotation or distribution can wear you down. It’s the same debate every cycle, usually with many of the same characters making similar arguments. And…
I hope you’re paying attention. Because while everyone keeps insisting “nothing is going up,” more and more stocks keep going up. Remember when they were laughing at me in early November? Well… the Dow Jones Transportation Average just closed at…
There’s been a lot of chatter lately about traditional brokerage firms opening the door to sports-betting markets for their clients. Let me be crystal clear: That does NOT mean betting on sports is the same thing as investing. These firms…
I live in the United States of America — a place where short selling isn’t just allowed, it’s celebrated. Other countries do things differently, and that’s fine. But here, the ability to profit from falling stock prices is one of…
Baseball isn’t for everyone. It demands skill, patience, preparation, and the ability to think through uncertain outcomes. And unless you’ve lived it, I understand why some people don’t quite get it. I grew up in Miami in a community of…
