The whole point of this newsletter is to find opportunities where the story everybody’s telling doesn’t line up with what’s actually happening. We literally called it Everybody’s Wrong because everybody is wrong somewhere, always. Right now, the narrative around technology…
The biggest story in 2026 hasn’t been the indexes. It’s the spread underneath them. You don’t even have to leave technology to see it. Software stocks just closed at new multiyear lows. At the same time, semiconductors are at all-time…
This is one of the oldest dad jokes on Wall Street, and it sticks around for a reason. You can’t have a party without chips. That applies just as much to markets as it does to a kid’s birthday. When…
I started trading about 23 years ago. I was 21, just getting my feet wet as stocks were coming out of a bear market and starting a new run. Gold was doing the same. Crypto didn’t exist yet. Not even…
Everybody is busy trying to predict the next crisis. That’s where the headlines are. That’s where all the noise is. And that’s where we’ve seen people go to feel smart. Meanwhile, I believe the real opportunity is sitting in the…
It’s a bull market. That’s the backdrop. In environments like this, the math is simple. You get paid for owning stocks. You don’t get paid for sitting out. And fighting the trend is usually the most expensive decision you can…
Are things actually slowing down, or is that just the story people keep telling themselves? Because when I look around, I see plenty of fear from investors. But price action is telling a completely different story. While everyone debates recessions…
I got my start on Wall Street in the summer of 2003, right as gold was beginning one of the great runs of our lifetime. At the time, I didn’t know much about anything. Not gold. Not stocks. I was…
There are some enormous initial public offerings (IPOs) lining up this year, and already there’s no shortage of opinions about what it all means. SpaceX could be out as soon as this quarter. OpenAI looks like it’s also coming in…
If you just listened to the headlines, you’d think technology is rolling over and dragging the entire market down with it. That’s the narrative. But the data tells a different story. Small-cap technology stocks have now risen for four straight…
Everybody loves to hate short sellers. They’re the “villains.” These are the “pessimists.” They’re the ones “betting against America.” But if you’re actually trying to make money instead of just sharing opinions, you should be grateful that short sellers exist.…
The first quarter is in the books. This is when I lean hardest on what I already know works. Zooming out isn’t optional. It’s the closest thing we have to a cheat code. Prices trend. That’s not an opinion. And…
