Market Breadth: Wants vs. Needs
There’s been a lot of chatter lately about market breadth — and, as usual, most of it is wrong. Let’s start with the basics: this is a market of stocks. There are about 500 in the S&P 500, 30 in…
There’s been a lot of chatter lately about market breadth — and, as usual, most of it is wrong. Let’s start with the basics: this is a market of stocks. There are about 500 in the S&P 500, 30 in…
Sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market. In healthy market environments, certain groups of stocks and sectors consistently lead the way — and it’s usually the risk-on areas like Technology and High Beta that sit at the top…
Every day, my job is to identify where the market is offsides — where investors are most vulnerable and positioned to get squeezed. We want to find where everyone is wrong… so we can take the other side. That’s what…
When we talk about a lot of the common characteristics we find in bull markets, investors who are new to my work tend to refer to me as a permabull. It’s funny, because during bear markets, those same kinds of…
What’s one of the biggest risks investors face — but rarely ever talk about? Opportunity cost. It’s one of the most overlooked risks in all of investing, quietly draining returns and fueling regret for investors everywhere. If you’re new around…
“In terms of stocks, there are 6,000 girls out there. If 20 or 30 of them look great, I don’t need to bother with the rest.” That’s a classic line from Stanley Druckenmiller, one of the greatest portfolio managers of…
We are officially heading into what has historically been the best three-month stretch of the year for stocks, November through January. This is the sweet spot for equities, the part of the calendar where the past tells us it’s paid…
I’m often asked about the best advice I’ve ever gotten over the years. I’m blessed to have amazing friends, family, and mentors who have helped me throughout my life and my career. I wouldn’t be here without them and their…
It’s important to look around. Listen to what friends and family are saying. See what the journalists and the economists are telling people. And then look to do the opposite. Now, we don’t want to be contrarian just for the…
The value of community and regular human interaction is underrated. Trading and investing can be a lonely endeavor. It’s supposed to be boring. If you’re getting your dopamine fix by trading stocks, you’re doing it wrong. Get your adrenaline rush…
I’ve spent more than two decades studying human behavior every single day. It’s not the market that’s crazy. It’s the people. Humans make irrational decisions, especially under stress. And there’s no environment that exposes those flaws more than when money…
They say 99% of arguments on Twitter would end immediately if both sides just admitted they’re operating on different time horizons. It’s true — and not just on social media. It’s true in markets and, honestly, in life too. Knowing…