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This Could Be the Cleanest Uptrend You’ll Ever See

Broadcom (AVGO) isn’t just another semiconductor company.

It’s the second-largest chip maker in the world.

At a market capitalization of $1.2 trillion, Broadcom is worth about $200 billion more than Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and about $2 trillion less than Nvidia (NVDA).

It’s also one of the cleanest long-term uptrends on the planet.

What a Long-Term Uptrend Looks Like

Over the last decade, AVGO has returned a compound average annual growth rate of more than 32%.

What stands out?

Every major breakout has led to a multi-quarter rally followed by a shallow consolidation before the next leg higher:

Stock price chart for Broadcom (AVGO) from 2010 to June 2025 shows an upward trend with key Fibonacci levels. Green arrows mark rises; red arrows mark declines.

Just look at that long-term uptrend.

AVGO has respected these Fibonacci extensions for decades. And I think that will likely continue.

Last December, price reached its next key extension level and has been consolidating since then.

I think it’s about to break out and make a fresh leg higher.

Here’s why:

Line chart titled 'Broadcom vs. Semiconductors AVGO/SMH' showing a price ratio from 2012 to 2026. Features a massive uptrend from 2012, multi-year consolidation, and a new all-time high in 2025. Red arrows indicate key resistance points. Labeled trend lines and Fibonacci levels are present. Chart suggests growth and volatility.

AVGO is making new all-time highs relative to its peer group, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH).

You’ll notice on the chart that the ratio has made a lot of all-time highs. 

That’s another uptrend.

We look for consistent outperformance in the best stocks.

And that’s exactly what we have here with AVGO.

AVGO’s Gap-n-Go 

Let’s zoom in on recent price action.

AVGO has carved out a textbook base:

Chart of Broadcom stock (AVGO) showing a cup-shaped pattern from November to May, ending at $260.71. Red arrows mark resistance. Text highlights Broadcom as the second-largest semiconductor company.

I think AVGO is about to resolve this base and make new all-time highs.

Broadcom reports earnings after the closing bell Thursday. And I’m looking for a gap-n-go Friday morning.

Meanwhile, a good earnings reaction from AVGO would also spark a huge rally in the semiconductor industry and the AI trade.

And that’s good for the market at large

Stay sharp,

JC Parets, CMT
Founder, TrendLabs