From where I’m sitting, this is still a “risk-on” market. And the market itself is the one telling us. In healthy environments, the leadership comes from offense — growth, cyclicals, and higher-beta stocks. That’s exactly what we’re seeing. Meanwhile, the…
The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index (XLY) just closed the week at new all-time highs. If you’re looking for clues about where the stock market is headed over the coming months and quarters, this is one of the most important…
There’s a lot we can learn from Warren Buffett. He’s earned his place as one of the greatest investors of all time. But the single most important lesson I’ve taken from him has nothing to do with valuation models or…
It still amazes me how often I hear otherwise intelligent, experienced market participants dismiss technical analysis as a “self-fulfilling prophecy.” Let’s be clear about what that claim actually implies. Saying technical analysis is self-fulfilling suggests that market events occur because…
The signs are usually there. We just have to pay attention. At TrendLabs, we lean heavily on quantitative models. We’ve built a global team of traders and analysts, and we put in the work every single week. Data matters. Process…
The S&P 500 has closed at new all-time highs for six consecutive months. And yet, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) refuses to go quietly. Despite this relentless strength in stocks, the VIX remains above 16 – a level that doesn’t…
One of the biggest questions on investors’ minds right now is whether the correction that began in September is finally behind us. As we’ve discussed repeatedly over the past few months, the U.S. stock market has been working through a…
We’re seeing the exact opposite of the “Dollar wrecking ball” narrative they’re always trying to scare you with. And sure, the idea of the U.S. Dollar smashing everything in its path sounds terrifying. It makes for great headlines. But the…
We spend a lot of time talking about the market’s most important stocks and sectors – and for good reason. They matter. They move the needle. But what’s the real answer to the question: Which sector is the most important…
Something funny happened yesterday. Value stocks hit new all-time highs… and growth didn’t. For years, we’ve heard the same lazy take: “It’s just a handful of growth stocks driving this weak market.” But that was never true, and anyone who…
It’s rarely the direction of interest rates that matters most to markets. It’s the rate of change behind that direction. Put simply, stocks prefer a quiet bond market. The lower the volatility in rates, the more comfortable investors tend to…
If you want a real read on market health, you have to look beyond the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq (QQQ). There’s a whole world happening outside those two tickers. And if you’re only staring at a couple of…
