‘When Do We Get Defensive?’ The Market Says Not Today
One of the questions I get most often – and one I think about a lot – is this: What would the market actually have to do for us to get more defensive? We’ve spent most of this cycle looking…
JC Parets is one of the most widely followed Technical Analysts in the world, known for his ability to cut through market noise and uncover real opportunities. As a Chartered Market Technician (CMT), JC specializes in identifying high-probability setups with a unique top-down approach which has helped hedge fund managers and thousands of everyday investors navigate the markets with confidence.
High Beta Is Bullying Low Vol Again
Risk-on assets are rising. Risk-off assets can’t keep up. That’s exactly what you see in healthy bull markets. The S&P 500 High Beta Index just closed at new all-time highs. Nearly half of it is Tech, with big help from…
Regional Banks: The Most Crowded Wrong Trade on Earth Right Now
Nobody wants to own Regional Banks. We can see it in the data. Short interest in the Regional Banks ETF (KRE) is at its highest level ever. And you’re not going to believe this… but I think everybody’s wrong. Every…
America Just Hit ‘Add to Cart’
The American consumer is a powerful beast. My fundamental friends love reminding me that consumer spending makes up roughly 70% of U.S. GDP. I still don’t know what a GDP is, but 70% of anything sounds like a big deal.…
Santa Doesn’t Come Until Christmas Eve
We call this daily note Everybody’s Wrong for a reason: There’s always a crowd leaning the wrong way. And as investors, our only job is to recognize those dislocations and profit from them. This summer, when small-cap short interest hit…
The Little Guys Are Coming
The weight of the evidence in small caps keeps pointing in the same direction: higher. The Russell 2000 just posted its third straight monthly close at new all-time highs, and when you break it down sector by sector, the underlying…
Turns Out the Other 493 Stocks Exist After All
As bull markets mature, opportunities don’t disappear — they multiply. But only for the people actually paying attention. Narratives take hold, and humans cling to them long after the market has moved on. They’ll toss out the math just to…
Don’t Be a Simp — Look Beyond the AI Narratives
Mark Twain famously said there are three kinds of lies: “Lies, damned lies, and statistics.” It was his way of exposing how easily numbers can be twisted to prop up a weak argument. We see the same thing every day…
The Edge Starts With Curiosity and Ends With Data
Founder’s Note: Something else I love about Quantitative Analyst Grant Hawkridge is that he’s always looking to get better. The data part is great; we couldn’t do what we do at TrendLabs without him. And curiosity is the key to…
Turkey, Monthly Candlesticks, and Somehow… More Bears?
Happy Thanksgiving from all of us at TrendLabs. This has been a special year, and I’m incredibly grateful for all your support. Everything we’re building here is only possible because of you. Thank you. Quick reminder: Today is a shortened…
The Environment Matters
I get it – the constant back-and-forth about bull or bear, strong breadth or weak breadth, rotation or distribution can wear you down. It’s the same debate every cycle, usually with many of the same characters making similar arguments. And…
Charlie Dow Called: He’s Bullish
I hope you’re paying attention. Because while everyone keeps insisting “nothing is going up,” more and more stocks keep going up. Remember when they were laughing at me in early November? Well… the Dow Jones Transportation Average just closed at…